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Exposure = band-population-weighted mean of municipal eligibility x PNI coverage (vaccination year = birth + dose age; intro-year partial coverage replaced by the first full year). Other focal exposures (RV, SCHED2010, MMRV, HEPA) enter as nuisance columns. One cross-section: identification is state x band interaction only (region and age effects absorb main effects); health-system access that raises both uptake and early diagnosis is not modelled. 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1.3322676295501878e-15 } ], "placebo_source": { "country": "SWE756", "cells": 756, "contrasts": [ "SWE_F84_allages_corrected", "SWE_HEPB_F84_allages", "SWE_RV_F84_allages" ], "scenarios": 24, "source": "project_results/global_integration/nordic_baltic_nl_placebo/inputs.json", "source_sha256": "df2b1e13465831ba5cfe0f8e6f923065f376589be3be842334fd61d7bffb4334", "original_cell_keys_sha256": "1dfe7348a62a537dc67e6628b790172987dfd157392e03de1fd782e9c1047bde", "nuisance_columns": 0, "placebo": true }, "source_notes": "Socialstyrelsen annual main-diagnosis specialist-care F84 patients per 100k, 21 counties x 2008-2025, five-year age bands (ages >= 0). Exposure identical to SWE_PCV (FHM birth-cohort PCV coverage, nearest-year imputations). Nuisance: script-74 HepB (Jonkoping 2006, Norrbotten 2012, national 2016) and rotavirus (Stockholm/Jonkoping clean 2015, national 1/3 2019, 2020+) programme shares, replacing the 94-file columns that zeroed the early adopters. Jonkoping 2006 is the script-74 date and is NOT verified (free all-infant programme documented from 1 Jan 2014; 91% paid uptake reported for H1 2012). Care use, not incidence.", "cube_grid": [ -6.0, 6.0, 161 ] }, "SWE1122": { "country": "SWE1122", "cells": 1122, "contrasts": [ "SWE_F84_allages_corrected", "SWE_HEPB_F84_allages", "SWE_RV_F84_allages" ], "scenarios": 24, "source": "project_results/global_integration/nordic_baltic_nl/inputs.json", "source_sha256": "0fecc01ea8b8a225d63afce2f7207d3ba4ddec58117c3a9e4c113ea0f9f7931f", "original_cell_keys_sha256": "93bcf05ca62adeb76196bf0c61746b743cb92b2c224ec108a3fd84cf58949571", "nuisance_columns": 0, "placebo": false, "fingerprint": { "code": "becaca2b8d5f4e7945cbf8bbc4d4a4729628c699c9c22831d1940cdca9c43307", "rule": "09c9514c45f2b36be30cada65d5dfee9485ab1850a0b036c4770fb107b8c7d35", "input": "0fecc01ea8b8a225d63afce2f7207d3ba4ddec58117c3a9e4c113ea0f9f7931f", "points": 161, "extent": 6.0, "diagnostics": true, "likelihood": "d19bede056bbcf295435f630a3faaa06f8dff3bad4173b79c854210ba58f5416", "kernel": "36a3cb85419bf77bfc26710c5195dde6f6ad4c0073a662e4c56ffc485d4fb88a" }, "seconds": 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"source_sha256": "df2b1e13465831ba5cfe0f8e6f923065f376589be3be842334fd61d7bffb4334", "original_cell_keys_sha256": "93bcf05ca62adeb76196bf0c61746b743cb92b2c224ec108a3fd84cf58949571", "nuisance_columns": 0, "placebo": true }, "source_notes": "Socialstyrelsen annual main-diagnosis specialist-care F84 patients per 100k, 21 counties x 2008-2025, five-year age bands (ages >= 0). Exposure identical to SWE_PCV (FHM birth-cohort PCV coverage, nearest-year imputations). Nuisance: script-74 HepB (Jonkoping 2006, Norrbotten 2012, national 2016) and rotavirus (Stockholm/Jonkoping clean 2015, national 1/3 2019, 2020+) programme shares, replacing the 94-file columns that zeroed the early adopters. Jonkoping 2006 is the script-74 date and is NOT verified (free all-infant programme documented from 1 Jan 2014; 91% paid uptake reported for H1 2012). Care use, not incidence.", "cube_grid": [ -6.0, 6.0, 161 ] } }, "reproduction_max_error": 1.5698553568199713e-13, "code_sha256": "becaca2b8d5f4e7945cbf8bbc4d4a4729628c699c9c22831d1940cdca9c43307", "rule_sha256": "09c9514c45f2b36be30cada65d5dfee9485ab1850a0b036c4770fb107b8c7d35", "synthesis_code_sha256": "d700e2ca33282a3df37c6812016b4bbed0bc1db827717043f9522831d99f46f2", "numerical_status": "passed declared finer/wider grid checks and independent posterior replay", "warnings": [ "Marginal uptake does not identify co-receipt or biological interactions.", "The results are conditional ecological mixture-model contrasts, not universal individual risk ratios.", "Future-shift placebos are imperfect when actual and shifted exposure remain correlated.", "Noise-free injections are recovery diagnostics, not empirical power.", "No numerical or placebo check proves causal identification." ], "numerical_checks": [ { "comparison": "synthesis_121_6.csv", "maximum_absolute_differences": { "rr_median": 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