{ "task": "3371", "generated": "2026-09-30T02:25:32-05:00", "script": "07_analysis_code/3371_colombia_lockdown_sensitivity.py", "script_sha256": "6b8db6aa24e556dcda4d8ceae2810cb7df4445135b7a3f8be0d2a129a44471be", "rule": { "file": "qa/colombia_lockdown_20260930/3371_rule.json", "sha256": "3b45caa73333c3d6b5ea83de494b8caf360a1cc220e930ab27bc361da954c271", "sidecar": "qa/colombia_lockdown_20260930/3371_rule.sha256", "written": "2026-09-30 01:25:10 Central Daylight Time (2026-09-30T06:25:10Z), before any 3371 computation: no likelihood, curve, posterior, placebo, hierarchy or common-effect value has been computed by this task. Only published outputs were read (3385 md/json, 3350 md/json/csv, hierarchy_final_p18.json) and the production block inputs were described (cell counts by year / level; block_input_sha256 f22bbfcc... recomputed, equal to the gate record).", "status": "SENSITIVITY ONLY. It has no effect on the primary: the primary synthesis (hierarchy_final_p18.json), blocks.csv, gate_decisions.json and every existing file stay unchanged (existing modules are imported read-only; nothing is written under project_results/global_integration). The substituted Colombia curve never replaces the production curve on disk." }, "first_computation": "2026-09-30T01:30:30-05:00", "provenance": { "block_fits": [ "2026-09-30T01:30:30-05:00", "2026-09-30T01:30:44-05:00" ], "synthesis": [ "2026-09-30T01:31:15-05:00", "2026-09-30T02:22:56-05:00" ], "fit_time_script_sha256": [ "508c044fa2b3b7a033e9c9ae1725eaa12bb41df50f1b6ac70b7d69820e5be955", "c83a0604cd211bacaaa91f34cc66815709f648693f23d445de1d3e84056c4141" ] }, "block_build": { "production_cells": 504, "cells": { "R0": 504, "R1": 336, "R1b": 335, "R2": 504 }, "cells_by_year": { "R0": { "2019": 84, "2020": 84, "2021": 84, "2022": 84, "2023": 84, "2024": 84 }, "R1": { "2019": 84, "2022": 84, "2023": 84, "2024": 84 }, "R1b": { "2019": 84, "2022": 83, "2023": 84, "2024": 84 }, "R2": { "2019": 84, "2020": 84, "2021": 84, "2022": 84, "2023": 84, "2024": 84 } }, "r0_input_sha256_equals_production": true, "r1b_is_r1_minus": [ [ "COL_86", "8.0", "2022" ] ], "r1b_subset_of_r1": true, "r2_nuisance_labels": [ "1[school year 2020 and level preescolar]", "1[school year 2020 and level basica_primaria]", "1[school year 2020 and level secundaria_media]", "1[school year 2021 and level preescolar]", "1[school year 2021 and level basica_primaria]", "1[school year 2021 and level secundaria_media]" ], "r2_extra_columns": 9, "input_sha256": { "R0": "f22bbfcce6bdebe579fb3e384b7e9e3b368a0113808671dde38ef726d472ee43", "R1": "9a1d0a974ba619b974b278376fe3ea1c96329636e39475e5bd4ee735dfee9840", "R1b": "e380ce4ccbd7505297a7542e21636b696386d4805419855a5b1d843c9b9f419a", "R2": "9b955cc61516db2a98a80c3826670024dc435c63a797476098c0bb3732d4ecaa" }, "r1b_equals_3385_block_except_id": { "records": true, "exposure": true, "exposure_labels": true, "extra": true } }, "verification": { "blocks": { "R0": { "posterior_max_rel_diff": 3.8797179723601655e-11, "curve_max_abs_diff": { "reference": 3.9904080040287226e-10, "linear_only": 9.084715202334337e-10, "spline_only": 3.9904080040287226e-10, "rho_0_85": 1.6467538443976082e-09 }, "grid_equal": true, "future3_max_rel_diff": 2.6893265347552628e-11, "passed": true }, "R1b": { "posterior_max_rel_diff": 0.0, "curve_max_abs_diff": 0.0, "future3_max_rel_diff": 0.0, "published_3385": { "median": 1.3117435152097872, "low": 0.8886748641558951, "high": 1.9754052464000589 }, "passed": true }, "R1_vs_3385": { "r1": { "median": 1.3209149585533018, "low": 0.8952212736458997, "high": 1.9904856061716811 }, "rel_diff": { "median": 0.006991796214100451, "low": 0.007366484362334921, "high": 0.007634058783181029 }, "within_5pct": true } }, "synthesis": { "E1": { "headline_abs_diff": { "ratio_median": 0.0, "ratio_low": 0.0, "ratio_high": 0.0, "p_above_1": 0.0, "p_above_1_10": 0.0, "p_above_1_25": 0.0 }, "colombia_context_abs_diff": { "rr_median": 0.0, "rr_low": 0.0, "rr_high": 0.0, "p_above_1": 0.0 }, "colombia_own_abs_diff": { "rr_median": 1.1102230246251565e-16, "rr_low": 2.220446049250313e-16, "rr_high": 4.440892098500626e-16 }, 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